7 Comments
May 9, 2023Liked by Florian Kronawitter

Fantastic. I really appreciate and value your work. Thank you !

Expand full comment
author

Thank you!

Expand full comment
May 9, 2023Liked by Florian Kronawitter

Another great article. Thanks for sharing!

Expand full comment
author

Thanks a lot!

Expand full comment
May 9, 2023Liked by Florian Kronawitter

Very nice - thank you!

I’m with you on the treasuries, although I favor TLT. My expectations are that a credit crunch will cause growth and inflation to collapse.

I am a bit concerned in the short-term about what happens to treasury yields when the Treasury issues more debt.

Expand full comment
author

thanks for this!

Expand full comment

A great piece, Mr Kronawitter. Thanks for sharing. Even though I share all of the above, I would like to ask you: do you believe that there´s another catalyst needed for the SPX to break lower? If so, any thoughts on what that might be?

Two further questions, if I may: do you think a late cycle spike in oil could end the apparent strenght of the consumer and, therefore, the labor market´s?

Last one, do you think that IWM/SPY offers some interesting entry point? IWM seems to be pricing a much higher probability of a hard landing, as well as being traded at almost the covid lows.

thanks ahead! appreciate your work

Expand full comment